macros

How macros changed the world economics – YTD 2022

Highlights of the report

Since the 2022 beginning, the situation of the world economy has significantly deteriorated. The expectations were high earlier in the year as the economy was stabilizing and returning to normal after the Covid disruption.

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According to the World Bank’s most recent Global Economic Prospects report, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has exacerbated the COVID-19 pandemic’s effects and the global economy’s slowdown, which could lead to a protracted period of weak growth and high inflation.

The war in Ukraine, lockdowns in China, supply-chain disruptions, and the risk of stagflation are hammering growth. For many countries, recession will be hard to avoid. Furthermore, markets look forward, so it is urgent to encourage production and avoid trade restrictions. Changes in fiscal, monetary, climate and debt. policy are needed to counter capital misallocation and inequality.

Global growth is expected to slump from 5.7% in 2021 to 2.9% in 2022 – significantly lower than 4.1% that was anticipated in January. It is expected to hover around that pace over 2023-24, as the war in Ukraine disrupts activity, investment, and trade in the near term, pent-up demand fades, and fiscal and monetary policy accommodation is withdrawn.

Executive Summary
– Equity market
– Commodity market
– Inflation
– GDP
– Interest rates
– Unemployment rate
– Currencies

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Report details

How macros changed the world economics – YTD 2022

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