Macroeconomic Trends Q1’FY25 Brazil – “From Fields to Finances: Brazil’s Q1 Surge Signals Economic Firepower”

Highlights of the report

Investment also made a meaningful contribution, rising about 3.1%, and household spending increased approximately 1% amid supportive labour market conditions and expanded consumer credit.

Macro Trends China FY24

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razil’s Q1 2025 fiscal outcome showed a primary surplus of R$54.5bn, doubling Q1 2024, thanks largely to deferring R$31bn in court-ordered payments to July deliberately countering fiscal expansion and aiding monetary tightening.

 Despite this resilience, inflation remained elevated throughout Q1 and early
Q2. The Central Bank responded with aggressive monetary tightening, raising the Selic rate by a total of 450 basis points since September to 15% in late June marking the highest level in nearly 20 years.

 Brazil’s economy grew by 1.4% in the Q1’2025 compared to Q4’2024, and by 2.9% YOY, driven primarily by a strong agricultural season with a bumper soybean harvest that boosted the farming sector by roughly 12.2% QoQ.

 Executive Summary


• Macro Economic Update
– Global

– Brazil

• Macro-Economic Performance

– Global


– Brazil

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Macroeconomic Trends Q1’FY25 Brazil – “From Fields to Finances: Brazil’s Q1 Surge Signals Economic Firepower”

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