Macro Trends China FY24

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Industry Analysis

razil’s Q1 2025 fiscal outcome showed a primary surplus of R$54.5bn, doubling Q1 2024, thanks largely to deferring R$31bn in court-ordered payments to July deliberately countering fiscal expansion and aiding monetary tightening.

Emerging Trends

 Despite this resilience, inflation remained elevated throughout Q1 and early
Q2. The Central Bank responded with aggressive monetary tightening, raising the Selic rate by a total of 450 basis points since September to 15% in late June marking the highest level in nearly 20 years.

CrispIdea Outlook

 Brazil’s economy grew by 1.4% in the Q1’2025 compared to Q4’2024, and by 2.9% YOY, driven primarily by a strong agricultural season with a bumper soybean harvest that boosted the farming sector by roughly 12.2% QoQ.

Table of Content

 Executive Summary

• Macro Economic Update
– Global

– Brazil

• Macro-Economic Performance

– Global

– Brazil

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