Investing in Different Asset Classes in 2024

Performance of Different Asset Classes in 2024: Returns, Historical Returns, Pros, and Cons

Investing in a diverse array of asset classes can be a strategic way to manage risk while seeking robust returns. Each asset class comes with its unique characteristics, returns, and risk profiles. Let's explore the performance of different asset classes based on recent data and discuss their advantages and disadvantages.
 
 

Indian Equities - Some Shine is Off

Indian Equities, have historically provided significant returns beating most other emerging markets but come with higher risk. The NIFTY 100, a broad market index, has delivered a year-to-date (YTD) return of 17.2% and a five-year annualized return of 16.3%. 
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However the area where the action has been in the recent times if Midcap and Smallcap segment. Midcap stocks, represented by the Midcap 150 index (investing in 101st to 250th companies by market cap), have performed even better with a 27.0% YTD return and a 28.6% five-year return. 
 
SmallCap stocks, as indicated by the SmallCap 250 index (investing in 251st to 500th companies by market cap), show an impressive 31.4% return both YTD and over five years.
 
However the markets have given back some of these returns in the last 3 months as Indian stock market witnessed a high quantum of FII selling and as Indian GDP moderated from 7+% to 5.4% in the latest quarter. 
 
Pros:
• High growth potential amongst all emerging markets
• Diversification across sectors and industries
• Strong macro and stable governance
 
Cons:
• Sensitivity to market and economic conditions
• Potential for significant short-term losses.
• Volatility can be high
 
Liquidity, making it easier to buy and sell

US Equities - Best Year for Returns

In global markets, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 have demonstrated stellar performance. The Nasdaq Composite, heavily weighted towards technology stocks, provided a 34.3% YTD annualized return and a 22.5% five-year return. This was a special year as Nvidia became a $3.6 Tn market cap stock rising to new highs on a quarter on quarter basis and all other magnificent stocks chipping in (from Meta's transformation to Apple to Amazon to Tesla).

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The S&P 500, an index of 500 large-cap U.S. companies, also achieved a stellar 33.3% annualized YTD return and a 19.9% five-year return.
 
These returns are in INR terms and a reminder for Indian investors to diversify some amount of their holdings to the best performing global market in the world. 
 
Pros:
• Ability to play some of the largest and most profitable companies in the world
• Dollar hedge
• Strong consumer, employment and company balance sheets
 
Cons:
• High relative valuation 
• 2024 will not be possible to replicate from a returns profile perspective
• Sensitive to geo-politics, governance and fiscal profligacy

Cryptocurrencies: The Frontier of Speculative Investments

Bitcoin, the most well-known cryptocurrency, has shown extraordinary returns, with a staggering 149.2% YTD return and a 42.3% five-year annualized return. However, it is crucial to understand that cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and speculative.

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Pros:
• Provided massive returns
• Growing acceptance and integration into financial systems
• Decentralized nature, reducing the risk of government intervention


Cons:
• Extreme volatility and high risk
• Regulatory uncertainty
• Security risks, such as hacking and fraud
• No underlying asset

Precious Metals: The Safe-Haven Assets

Precious metals like Gold and Silver are considered safe-haven assets. Gold has delivered a 22.1% YTD return and a 14.5% five-year return. Silver, while slightly less stable, has provided a 21.9% YTD return and a 7.4% five-year return. These metals are often sought after during economic uncertainty as they tend to retain value better than other investments.

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Pros:
• Stability and protection against inflation.
• Tangible assets with intrinsic value.
• Less correlated with stock market movements.
 
Cons:
• Lower returns compared to equities and cryptocurrencies.
• Storage and insurance costs.
• Price influenced by factors such as mining production and geopolitical events.

Conclusion: Balancing Risk and Reward

Each asset class offers a unique balance of risk and reward. Indian and US Equities provide high returns but come with high volatility. Cryptocurrencies offer massive potential returns but at the cost of extreme risk. Precious metals offer stability and protection but usually deliver lower returns.

Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment goals, and time horizon when choosing asset classes. Diversification across different asset classes can help mitigate risk and enhance returns, ensuring a more balanced and resilient investment portfolio.

About Author

Malay Shah is a Founder and a Principal Advisor at CrispIdea (www.crispidea.com/ai-first-wealth). He is a SEBI registered Investment Adviser with more than 24 years of work experience with professional services firms like EY, McKinsey, Alvarez & Marsal bringing in a wealth of knowledge about market trends, economic cycles, and investment strategies.

He is on a mission to democratize wealth for the ambitious professionals in India by bringing the best AI technology combined with powerful capabilities of large fund-houses and financial institutions to retail clients, ensuring capital protection, tax-optimized asset allocation, and market outperformance

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